A User’s Guide to Infectious Disease Modelling

A User’s Guide to Infectious Disease Modelling

This guide is intended as an introduction to interpreting the results of mathematical modelling studies in epidemiology. Such studies are increasingly used to support decision-making related to immunisation policy and the control of vaccine preventable diseases. The guide is designed to be read either in full or on a section by section basis, with these sections closely relating to the ordering of material in published modelling papers. Where it has been essential to use more technical terms to convey a precise message, these have been italicized to indicate inclusion in the attached glossary found on pages 24-26 of this document.

The guidance has been kept fairly general as we could not cover the large variety of specific details that appear in the literature. References for further reading are provided at the end of the document.

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